Crime in Valley, Waltham Forest: statistics, rates and trends
1,981 crimes were recorded in Valley, Waltham Forest in the 12 months to August 2026, 123.9 per 1,000 residents. That is higher than the England and Wales rate of 96.7, and down 13% on the year before.
Table of Contents
- Crime map
- Crime in Valley, Waltham Forest at a glance
- Crime trends in Valley, Waltham Forest
- Types of crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
- Valley, Waltham Forest compared with nearby neighbourhoods
- Streets with the most crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
- What happened after crimes were reported in Valley, Waltham Forest
- Demographics of Valley, Waltham Forest
- Questions about crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
- About this data
Crime map
Violence and sexual offences (467), anti-social behaviour (361) and shoplifting (278) made up 56% of all recorded crime. Its crime rate ranks 774th of the 3,911 neighbourhoods covered by this site (1 = highest), in the highest quarter.
| Measure | Valley, Waltham Forest | Waltham Forest | England and Wales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crimes, the 12 months to August 2026 | 1,981 | 29,459 | 5,618,064 |
| Crimes per 1,000 residents | 123.9 | 105.3 | 96.7 |
| Change on previous 12 months | -13% | -4% | -1% |
| Population | 15,995 | 279,737 | 58,127,638 |
Recorded crime in Valley, Waltham Forest peaked in the year to August 2025 (2,274 crimes) and was lowest in the year to August 2019 (1,630). Between the years to August 2018 and 2026 it rose 17%, while across England and Wales it fell 4%.
| Period | Crimes | Per 1,000 | England and Wales per 1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year to August 2026 | 1,981 | 123.9 | 96.7 |
| Year to August 2025 | 2,274 | 142.2 | 97.2 |
| Year to August 2024 | 2,142 | 133.9 | 97.9 |
| Year to August 2023 | 2,198 | 137.4 | n/a |
| Year to August 2022 | 1,933 | 120.9 | 102.0 |
| Year to August 2021 | 1,850 | 115.7 | 101.4 |
| Year to August 2020 | 2,152 | 134.5 | 102.7 |
| Year to August 2019 | 1,630 | 101.9 | 101.7 |
| Year to August 2018 | 1,694 | 105.9 | 100.8 |
Month by month
| Month | Crimes |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 157 |
| July 2026 | 160 |
| June 2026 | 169 |
| May 2026 | 175 |
| April 2026 | 165 |
| March 2026 | 176 |
| February 2026 | 159 |
| January 2026 | 163 |
| December 2025 | 146 |
| November 2025 | 185 |
| October 2025 | 161 |
| September 2025 | 165 |
Compared with England and Wales, Valley, Waltham Forest recorded notably more vehicle crime (3.2 times the national rate), shoplifting (2.1 times the national rate) and drugs (72% above the national rate), and notably less other crime (41% below) and criminal damage and arson (34% below). On the year before, burglary rose from 69 to 90, while shoplifting fell from 611 to 278 and robbery fell from 60 to 37.
| Crime type | Crimes | Per 1,000 | England and Wales per 1,000 | Change on year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violence and sexual offences | 467 | 29.2 | 34.2 | +12% |
| Anti-social behaviour | 361 | 22.6 | 15.4 | +6% |
| Shoplifting | 278 | 17.4 | 8.5 | -55% |
| Vehicle crime | 255 | 15.9 | 5.0 | +10% |
| Other theft | 174 | 10.9 | 6.4 | +9% |
| Burglary | 90 | 5.6 | 3.6 | +30% |
| Drugs | 90 | 5.6 | 3.3 | -16% |
| Public order | 83 | 5.2 | 6.7 | -9% |
| Criminal damage and arson | 71 | 4.4 | 6.7 | -28% |
| Theft from the person | 38 | 2.4 | 1.7 | -21% |
| Robbery | 37 | 2.3 | 1.4 | -38% |
| Other crime | 20 | 1.3 | 2.1 | -13% |
| Possession of weapons | 9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | n/a |
| Bicycle theft | 8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | n/a |
What each category covers: crime categories.
Valley, Waltham Forest has a higher crime rate than all 8 of its nearest neighbourhoods.
| Neighbourhood | Crimes | Per 1,000 | Rate vs Valley, Waltham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larkswood | 920 | 71.1 | -43% |
| Endlebury | 463 | 56.3 | -55% |
| Hale End & Highams Park South | 806 | 75.4 | -39% |
| Hatch Lane & Highams Park North | 734 | 64.3 | -48% |
| Chapel End | 1,136 | 90.5 | -27% |
| Higham Hill | 1,271 | 82.3 | -34% |
| Chingford Green | 976 | 91.1 | -26% |
| William Morris | 1,202 | 85.9 | -31% |
The 10 locations below account for 51% of the crime recorded in Valley, Waltham Forest over the 12 months to August 2026; the most were recorded at “Supermarket” (193).
| Location | Crimes |
|---|---|
| On or near Supermarket | 193 |
| On or near Petrol Station | 179 |
| On or near Cork Tree Way | 143 |
| On or near Albert Crescent | 109 |
| On or near Churchill Terrace | 92 |
| On or near Cabinet Way | 84 |
| On or near Walthamstow Avenue | 65 |
| On or near Chingford Mount Road | 53 |
| On or near Orchard Close | 52 |
| On or near Hollywood Road | 45 |
Of the 1,620 crimes in Valley, Waltham Forest with a recorded outcome, 52% ended with the investigation complete and no suspect identified, against 35% across England and Wales; 3.3% were awaiting a court outcome (England and Wales: 5.2%). The 361 anti-social behaviour reports have no outcome and are left out.
| Outcome | Crimes | Share | England and Wales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investigation complete; no suspect identified | 847 | 52.3% | 35.3% |
| Unable to prosecute suspect | 330 | 20.4% | 34.5% |
| Under investigation | 191 | 11.8% | 11.5% |
| Status update unavailable | 138 | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Awaiting court outcome | 53 | 3.3% | 5.2% |
| Local resolution | 30 | 1.9% | 3.1% |
| Action to be taken by another organisation | 13 | 0.8% | 1.3% |
| Court result unavailable | 11 | 0.7% | 2.5% |
| Offender given penalty notice | 6 | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Formal action is not in the public interest | 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% |
Valley, Waltham Forest has an estimated population of 15,995 (ONS, mid-2024). Compared with England and Wales it has fewer retired residents (16%, against 22%), more residents with no qualifications (22%, against 18%) and a younger population (15%, against 19%). On the England IoD 2025, the small areas (LSOAs) that make up Valley, Waltham Forest average decile 4.8 (1 = most deprived), close to the middle.
| Measure | Valley, Waltham Forest | England and Wales |
|---|---|---|
| Aged 0 to 15 | 20.7% | 18.3% |
| Aged 65 and over | 14.9% | 18.9% |
| Residents 16+ in work | 58.6% | 57.2% |
| Residents 16+ unemployed | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Residents 16+ retired | 16.1% | 21.6% |
| Residents 16+ who are students | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Residents 16+ with Level 4 qualifications or above (degree, HND and similar) | 31.3% | 33.8% |
| Residents 16+ with no qualifications | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| Households with no car or van | 25.2% | 23.3% |
| Homes owned outright or with a mortgage | 65.0% | 62.5% |
| Social rented homes | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| Private rented homes | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| Average deprivation decile (1 = most deprived, 10 = least) | 4.8 | 5.5 (England) |
Is Valley, Waltham Forest a safe place to live?
Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 123.9 crimes per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to August 2026, higher than the England and Wales rate of 96.7, and ranks 774th of the 3,911 neighbourhoods on this site by crime rate (1 = highest). The categories most above the national rate were vehicle crime and shoplifting.
What is the most common crime in Valley, Waltham Forest?
Violence and sexual offences was the most common category, with 467 reports in the 12 months to August 2026, followed by anti-social behaviour (361).
Is crime in Valley, Waltham Forest going up or down?
Recorded crime in Valley, Waltham Forest was down 13% on the year before: 1,981 crimes in the 12 months to August 2026 against 2,274 in the previous 12 months.
What is the population of Valley, Waltham Forest?
About 15,995 people (ONS mid-2024 estimate), 15% of them aged 65 or over (England and Wales: 19%).
Which police force covers Valley, Waltham Forest?
Valley, Waltham Forest is policed by Metropolitan Police.
Police-recorded crime from data.police.uk (September 2017 to August 2026), ONS population estimates and Census 2021. Definitions and limitations: methodology.