Crime in Valley, Waltham Forest: statistics, rates and trends
1,953 crimes were recorded in Valley, Waltham Forest in the 12 months to July 2026, 122.1 per 1,000 residents. That is higher than the England and Wales rate of 96.4, and down 15% on the year before.
Table of Contents
- Crime in Valley, Waltham Forest at a glance
- Crime trends in Valley, Waltham Forest
- Types of crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
- Valley, Waltham Forest compared with nearby neighbourhoods
- Streets with the most crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
- What happened after crimes were reported in Valley, Waltham Forest
- Population and deprivation in Valley, Waltham Forest
- Questions about crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
- About this data
1,953 crimes were recorded in Valley, Waltham Forest in the 12 months to July 2026, 122.1 per 1,000 residents. That is higher than the England and Wales rate of 96.4, and down 15% on the year before. The most common offence was violence and sexual offences, with 452 reports (23% of the total).
Of the 3,911 neighbourhoods covered by this site, Valley, Waltham Forest has the 801st highest crime rate.
| Measure | Valley, Waltham Forest | Waltham Forest | England and Wales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crimes, the 12 months to July 2026 | 1,953 | 29,474 | 5,665,700 |
| Crimes per 1,000 residents | 122.1 | 105.4 | 96.4 |
| Change on previous 12 months | -15% | -5% | -1% |
| Population | 15,995 | 279,737 | 58,797,018 |
Recorded crime in Valley, Waltham Forest was highest in the year to July 2025 (2,309 crimes) and lowest in the year to July 2019 (1,624). Over the whole period it rose 14%, against a fall of 4% across England and Wales. Rates use today's population for every year, so they show the direction of change rather than exact historic rates.
| Period | Crimes | Per 1,000 | England and Wales per 1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year to July 2026 | 1,953 | 122.1 | 96.4 |
| Year to July 2025 | 2,309 | 144.4 | 97.1 |
| Year to July 2024 | 2,169 | 135.6 | 97.7 |
| Year to July 2023 | 2,163 | 135.2 | 5.2 |
| Year to July 2022 | 1,908 | 119.3 | 101.3 |
| Year to July 2021 | 1,903 | 119.0 | 102.1 |
| Year to July 2020 | 2,105 | 131.6 | 101.9 |
| Year to July 2019 | 1,624 | 101.5 | 101.5 |
| Year to July 2018 | 1,716 | 107.3 | 100.6 |
Month by month
| Month | Crimes |
|---|---|
| July 2026 | 160 |
| June 2026 | 169 |
| May 2026 | 175 |
| April 2026 | 165 |
| March 2026 | 176 |
| February 2026 | 159 |
| January 2026 | 163 |
| December 2025 | 146 |
| November 2025 | 185 |
| October 2025 | 161 |
| September 2025 | 165 |
| August 2025 | 129 |
The table shows every category of crime recorded in Valley, Waltham Forest over the 12 months to July 2026. The index compares the local rate with England and Wales: 1.00 is the national rate, 2.00 is double it. Rates were well above the national level for anti-social behaviour, shoplifting, vehicle crime.
The largest increases were in burglary (+21%). The largest falls were in shoplifting (-57%) and robbery (-44%).
| Crime type | Crimes | Per 1,000 | Index (E&W = 1.00) | Change on year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violence and sexual offences | 452 | 28.3 | 0.83 | +7% |
| Anti-social behaviour | 359 | 22.4 | 1.46 | +6% |
| Shoplifting | 270 | 16.9 | 2.04 | -57% |
| Vehicle crime | 249 | 15.6 | 3.16 | +4% |
| Other theft | 167 | 10.4 | 1.63 | +2% |
| Drugs | 93 | 5.8 | 1.78 | -8% |
| Burglary | 88 | 5.5 | 1.56 | +21% |
| Public order | 82 | 5.1 | 0.77 | -10% |
| Criminal damage and arson | 77 | 4.8 | 0.71 | -23% |
| Theft from the person | 40 | 2.5 | 1.48 | -13% |
| Robbery | 35 | 2.2 | 1.62 | -44% |
| Other crime | 21 | 1.3 | 0.62 | -5% |
| Bicycle theft | 12 | 0.8 | 0.91 | +9% |
| Possession of weapons | 8 | 0.5 | 0.52 | +60% |
Violence and sexual offences in Valley, Waltham Forest
Violence and sexual offences covers offences against the person, from common assault to homicide, and sexual offences. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 452 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (28.3 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 34.2, and up 7% on the year before. It made up 23.1% of all crime in the area.
Anti-social behaviour in Valley, Waltham Forest
Anti-social behaviour covers personal, environmental and nuisance anti-social behaviour. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 359 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (22.4 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 15.3, and up 6% on the year before. It made up 18.4% of all crime in the area.
Shoplifting in Valley, Waltham Forest
Shoplifting covers theft from shops or stalls. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 270 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (16.9 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 8.3, and down 57% on the year before. It made up 13.8% of all crime in the area.
Vehicle crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
Vehicle crime covers theft of or from a vehicle, and interfering with a vehicle. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 249 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (15.6 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 4.9, and up 4% on the year before. It made up 12.7% of all crime in the area.
Other theft in Valley, Waltham Forest
Other theft covers theft not covered by another category, such as theft by an employee or of unattended items. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 167 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (10.4 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 6.4, and up 2% on the year before. It made up 8.6% of all crime in the area.
Drugs in Valley, Waltham Forest
Drugs covers possession, supply and production of controlled drugs. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 93 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (5.8 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 3.3, and down 8% on the year before. It made up 4.8% of all crime in the area.
Burglary in Valley, Waltham Forest
Burglary covers entering a home or other building as a trespasser to steal, or with intent to steal. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 88 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (5.5 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 3.5, and up 21% on the year before. It made up 4.5% of all crime in the area.
Public order in Valley, Waltham Forest
Public order covers offences that cause fear, alarm or distress. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 82 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (5.1 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 6.6, and down 10% on the year before. It made up 4.2% of all crime in the area.
Criminal damage and arson in Valley, Waltham Forest
Criminal damage and arson covers deliberate damage to property, including setting fire to it. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 77 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (4.8 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 6.8, and down 23% on the year before. It made up 3.9% of all crime in the area.
Theft from the person in Valley, Waltham Forest
Theft from the person covers theft of property carried on the person, such as pickpocketing, without force. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 40 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (2.5 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 1.7, and down 13% on the year before. It made up 2.0% of all crime in the area.
Robbery in Valley, Waltham Forest
Robbery covers theft using force or the threat of force. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 35 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (2.2 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 1.4, and down 44% on the year before. It made up 1.8% of all crime in the area.
Other crime in Valley, Waltham Forest
Other crime covers offences not covered by another category, such as forgery and perjury. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 21 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (1.3 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 2.1, and down 5% on the year before. It made up 1.1% of all crime in the area.
Bicycle theft in Valley, Waltham Forest
Bicycle theft covers the taking of a bicycle without the owner's consent. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 12 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (0.8 per 1,000 residents), close to the England and Wales rate of 0.8, and up 9% on the year before. It made up 0.6% of all crime in the area.
Possession of weapons in Valley, Waltham Forest
Possession of weapons covers carrying or possessing a weapon such as a firearm or knife. Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 8 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (0.5 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 1.0, and up 60% on the year before. It made up 0.4% of all crime in the area.
Crime rates in the neighbourhoods closest to Valley, Waltham Forest, for the 12 months to July 2026. The last column shows each area's rate relative to Valley, Waltham Forest.
| Neighbourhood | Crimes | Per 1,000 | Rate vs Valley, Waltham Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larkswood | 917 | 70.9 | -42% |
| Endlebury | 470 | 57.2 | -53% |
| Hale End & Highams Park South | 827 | 77.4 | -37% |
| Hatch Lane & Highams Park North | 744 | 65.2 | -47% |
| Chapel End | 1,131 | 90.1 | -26% |
| Higham Hill | 1,260 | 81.6 | -33% |
| Chingford Green | 980 | 91.5 | -25% |
| William Morris | 1,170 | 83.6 | -32% |
Police.uk records each crime at an approximate location, usually the centre of a nearby street or a landmark, to protect victims' privacy. These are the locations with the most reports in Valley, Waltham Forest over the 12 months to July 2026.
| Location | Crimes |
|---|---|
| On or near Supermarket | 188 |
| On or near Petrol Station | 172 |
| On or near Cork Tree Way | 129 |
| On or near Albert Crescent | 108 |
| On or near Churchill Terrace | 88 |
| On or near Cabinet Way | 85 |
| On or near Walthamstow Avenue | 62 |
| On or near Chingford Mount Road | 61 |
| On or near Orchard Close | 49 |
| On or near Hazel Way | 44 |
The latest recorded outcome for crimes in Valley, Waltham Forest over the 12 months to July 2026. Many cases are still open when the data is published, and anti-social behaviour has no outcome recorded, so these shares change as investigations finish.
| Outcome | Crimes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Investigation complete; no suspect identified | 820 | 42.0% |
| Not recorded | 359 | 18.4% |
| Unable to prosecute suspect | 321 | 16.4% |
| Under investigation | 229 | 11.7% |
| Status update unavailable | 124 | 6.3% |
| Awaiting court outcome | 42 | 2.2% |
| Local resolution | 30 | 1.5% |
| Action to be taken by another organisation | 12 | 0.6% |
| Court result unavailable | 11 | 0.6% |
| Offender given penalty notice | 4 | 0.2% |
| Formal action is not in the public interest | 1 | 0.1% |
Valley, Waltham Forest has an estimated population of 15,995. On the England IoD 2025, the average neighbourhood in Valley, Waltham Forest sits in decile 4.8, close to the middle. Deprivation and recorded crime are linked, but many other factors shape local crime rates.
| Measure | Valley, Waltham Forest |
|---|---|
| Aged 0 to 15 | 20.7% |
| Aged 16 to 64 | 64.4% |
| Aged 65 and over | 14.9% |
| Homes owned outright or with a mortgage | 65.0% |
| Social rented homes | 17.7% |
| Private rented homes | 17.3% |
| Average deprivation decile (1 = most deprived, 10 = least) | 4.8 |
Is Valley, Waltham Forest a safe place to live?
Valley, Waltham Forest recorded 122.1 crimes per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to July 2026, higher than the England and Wales rate of 96.4. Crime is concentrated in a small number of places within most areas, often busy centres and transport hubs, so the rate for a single street can differ a lot from the area as a whole.
What is the most common crime in Valley, Waltham Forest?
Violence and sexual offences was the most common category, with 452 reports in the 12 months to July 2026, followed by anti-social behaviour (359).
Is crime in Valley, Waltham Forest going up or down?
Recorded crime in Valley, Waltham Forest was down 15% on the year before: 1,953 crimes in the 12 months to July 2026 against 2,309 in the previous 12 months.
Which police force covers Valley, Waltham Forest?
Valley, Waltham Forest is policed by Metropolitan Police. Non-emergency crimes can be reported online to the force or by calling 101; in an emergency call 999.
How are these crime rates calculated?
Each rate is the number of crimes recorded by the police in the 12 months to July 2026, divided by the resident population and multiplied by 1,000. Crime data is from data.police.uk and population estimates are from the Office for National Statistics.
Figures are police-recorded crime published on data.police.uk, covering August 2017 to July 2026. Each crime is counted in the small area (LSOA) where it was recorded and added up to Valley, Waltham Forest. Crimes recorded by British Transport Police are not included.
Population figures are ONS mid-year estimates. See the methodology for details.