Crime in Nelson, Caerphilly: statistics, rates and trends
344 crimes were recorded in Nelson, Caerphilly in the 12 months to July 2026, 78.6 per 1,000 residents. That is lower than the England and Wales rate of 96.4, and up 8% on the year before.
Table of Contents
- Crime in Nelson, Caerphilly at a glance
- Crime trends in Nelson, Caerphilly
- Types of crime in Nelson, Caerphilly
- Nelson, Caerphilly compared with nearby neighbourhoods
- Streets with the most crime in Nelson, Caerphilly
- What happened after crimes were reported in Nelson, Caerphilly
- Population and deprivation in Nelson, Caerphilly
- Questions about crime in Nelson, Caerphilly
- About this data
344 crimes were recorded in Nelson, Caerphilly in the 12 months to July 2026, 78.6 per 1,000 residents. That is lower than the England and Wales rate of 96.4, and up 8% on the year before. The most common offence was violence and sexual offences, with 152 reports (44% of the total).
Of the 3,911 neighbourhoods covered by this site, Nelson, Caerphilly has the 1,902nd highest crime rate.
| Measure | Nelson, Caerphilly | Caerphilly | England and Wales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crimes, the 12 months to July 2026 | 344 | 18,746 | 5,665,700 |
| Crimes per 1,000 residents | 78.6 | 106.0 | 96.4 |
| Change on previous 12 months | +8% | +1% | -1% |
| Population | 4,375 | 176,865 | 58,797,018 |
Recorded crime in Nelson, Caerphilly was highest in the year to July 2019 (345 crimes) and lowest in the year to July 2021 (292). Over the whole period it rose 5%, against a fall of 4% across England and Wales. Rates use today's population for every year, so they show the direction of change rather than exact historic rates.
| Period | Crimes | Per 1,000 | England and Wales per 1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year to July 2026 | 344 | 78.6 | 96.4 |
| Year to July 2025 | 320 | 73.1 | 97.1 |
| Year to July 2024 | 324 | 74.1 | 97.7 |
| Year to July 2023 | 314 | 71.8 | 5.2 |
| Year to July 2022 | 329 | 75.2 | 101.3 |
| Year to July 2021 | 292 | 66.7 | 102.1 |
| Year to July 2020 | 318 | 72.7 | 101.9 |
| Year to July 2019 | 345 | 78.9 | 101.5 |
| Year to July 2018 | 328 | 75.0 | 100.6 |
Month by month
| Month | Crimes |
|---|---|
| July 2026 | 49 |
| June 2026 | 27 |
| May 2026 | 35 |
| April 2026 | 33 |
| March 2026 | 27 |
| February 2026 | 23 |
| January 2026 | 28 |
| December 2025 | 21 |
| November 2025 | 18 |
| October 2025 | 20 |
| September 2025 | 25 |
| August 2025 | 38 |
The table shows every category of crime recorded in Nelson, Caerphilly over the 12 months to July 2026. The index compares the local rate with England and Wales: 1.00 is the national rate, 2.00 is double it. Rates were well above the national level for burglary.
The largest increases were in violence and sexual offences (+27%). The largest falls were in criminal damage and arson (-34%) and public order (-30%).
| Crime type | Crimes | Per 1,000 | Index (E&W = 1.00) | Change on year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violence and sexual offences | 152 | 34.7 | 1.01 | +27% |
| Anti-social behaviour | 43 | 9.8 | 0.64 | -9% |
| Vehicle crime | 26 | 5.9 | 1.21 | +53% |
| Criminal damage and arson | 25 | 5.7 | 0.84 | -34% |
| Burglary | 23 | 5.3 | 1.49 | +64% |
| Public order | 23 | 5.3 | 0.79 | -30% |
| Other theft | 15 | 3.4 | 0.54 | -25% |
| Drugs | 10 | 2.3 | 0.70 | +11% |
| Other crime | 10 | 2.3 | 1.08 | +0% |
| Shoplifting | 7 | 1.6 | 0.19 | -30% |
| Possession of weapons | 5 | 1.1 | 1.18 | +400% |
| Robbery | 3 | 0.7 | 0.51 | n/a |
| Bicycle theft | 2 | 0.5 | 0.56 | +100% |
Violence and sexual offences in Nelson, Caerphilly
Violence and sexual offences covers offences against the person, from common assault to homicide, and sexual offences. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 152 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (34.7 per 1,000 residents), close to the England and Wales rate of 34.2, and up 27% on the year before. It made up 44.2% of all crime in the area.
Anti-social behaviour in Nelson, Caerphilly
Anti-social behaviour covers personal, environmental and nuisance anti-social behaviour. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 43 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (9.8 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 15.3, and down 9% on the year before. It made up 12.5% of all crime in the area.
Vehicle crime in Nelson, Caerphilly
Vehicle crime covers theft of or from a vehicle, and interfering with a vehicle. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 26 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (5.9 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 4.9, and up 53% on the year before. It made up 7.6% of all crime in the area.
Criminal damage and arson in Nelson, Caerphilly
Criminal damage and arson covers deliberate damage to property, including setting fire to it. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 25 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (5.7 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 6.8, and down 34% on the year before. It made up 7.3% of all crime in the area.
Burglary in Nelson, Caerphilly
Burglary covers entering a home or other building as a trespasser to steal, or with intent to steal. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 23 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (5.3 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 3.5, and up 64% on the year before. It made up 6.7% of all crime in the area.
Public order in Nelson, Caerphilly
Public order covers offences that cause fear, alarm or distress. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 23 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (5.3 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 6.6, and down 30% on the year before. It made up 6.7% of all crime in the area.
Other theft in Nelson, Caerphilly
Other theft covers theft not covered by another category, such as theft by an employee or of unattended items. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 15 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (3.4 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 6.4, and down 25% on the year before. It made up 4.4% of all crime in the area.
Drugs in Nelson, Caerphilly
Drugs covers possession, supply and production of controlled drugs. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 10 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (2.3 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 3.3, and up 11% on the year before. It made up 2.9% of all crime in the area.
Other crime in Nelson, Caerphilly
Other crime covers offences not covered by another category, such as forgery and perjury. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 10 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (2.3 per 1,000 residents), close to the England and Wales rate of 2.1, and almost unchanged on the year before. It made up 2.9% of all crime in the area.
Shoplifting in Nelson, Caerphilly
Shoplifting covers theft from shops or stalls. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 7 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (1.6 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 8.3, and down 30% on the year before. It made up 2.0% of all crime in the area.
Possession of weapons in Nelson, Caerphilly
Possession of weapons covers carrying or possessing a weapon such as a firearm or knife. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 5 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (1.1 per 1,000 residents), higher than the England and Wales rate of 1.0, and up 400% on the year before. It made up 1.5% of all crime in the area.
Robbery in Nelson, Caerphilly
Robbery covers theft using force or the threat of force. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 3 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (0.7 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 1.4, and with no comparable figure for the year before. It made up 0.9% of all crime in the area.
Bicycle theft in Nelson, Caerphilly
Bicycle theft covers the taking of a bicycle without the owner's consent. Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 2 reports in the 12 months to July 2026 (0.5 per 1,000 residents), lower than the England and Wales rate of 0.8, and up 100% on the year before. It made up 0.6% of all crime in the area.
Crime rates in the neighbourhoods closest to Nelson, Caerphilly, for the 12 months to July 2026. The last column shows each area's rate relative to Nelson, Caerphilly.
| Neighbourhood | Crimes | Per 1,000 | Rate vs Nelson, Caerphilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ystrad Mynach | 836 | 148.3 | +89% |
| St Cattwg | 607 | 82.8 | +5% |
| Hengoed | 441 | 79.0 | +1% |
| Cefn Fforest and Pengam | 833 | 112.6 | +43% |
| Aber Valley | 548 | 85.8 | +9% |
| Aberbargoed and Bargoed | 1,333 | 132.3 | +68% |
| Blackwood | 1,203 | 147.9 | +88% |
| Llanbradach | 435 | 100.0 | +27% |
Police.uk records each crime at an approximate location, usually the centre of a nearby street or a landmark, to protect victims' privacy. These are the locations with the most reports in Nelson, Caerphilly over the 12 months to July 2026.
| Location | Crimes |
|---|---|
| On or near Heol Las | 25 |
| On or near High Street | 20 |
| On or near Supermarket | 19 |
| On or near Commercial Street | 18 |
| On or near Ty Du Road | 18 |
| On or near Church Lane | 17 |
| On or near Thomas Street | 17 |
| On or near Station Terrace | 15 |
| On or near Heol-Y-Wern | 12 |
| On or near Primrose Close | 12 |
The latest recorded outcome for crimes in Nelson, Caerphilly over the 12 months to July 2026. Many cases are still open when the data is published, and anti-social behaviour has no outcome recorded, so these shares change as investigations finish.
| Outcome | Crimes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Unable to prosecute suspect | 118 | 34.3% |
| Under investigation | 63 | 18.3% |
| Investigation complete; no suspect identified | 59 | 17.2% |
| Not recorded | 43 | 12.5% |
| Local resolution | 17 | 4.9% |
| Status update unavailable | 17 | 4.9% |
| Awaiting court outcome | 14 | 4.1% |
| Court result unavailable | 5 | 1.5% |
| Action to be taken by another organisation | 4 | 1.2% |
| Further investigation is not in the public interest | 2 | 0.6% |
| Formal action is not in the public interest | 1 | 0.3% |
| Further action is not in the public interest | 1 | 0.3% |
Nelson, Caerphilly has an estimated population of 4,375. On the Wales WIMD 2025, the average neighbourhood in Nelson, Caerphilly sits in decile 6.0, close to the middle. Deprivation and recorded crime are linked, but many other factors shape local crime rates.
| Measure | Nelson, Caerphilly |
|---|---|
| Aged 0 to 15 | 14.9% |
| Aged 16 to 64 | 58.1% |
| Aged 65 and over | 27.0% |
| Homes owned outright or with a mortgage | 73.6% |
| Social rented homes | 16.4% |
| Private rented homes | 9.9% |
| Average deprivation decile (1 = most deprived, 10 = least) | 6.0 |
Is Nelson, Caerphilly a safe place to live?
Nelson, Caerphilly recorded 78.6 crimes per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to July 2026, lower than the England and Wales rate of 96.4. Crime is concentrated in a small number of places within most areas, often busy centres and transport hubs, so the rate for a single street can differ a lot from the area as a whole.
What is the most common crime in Nelson, Caerphilly?
Violence and sexual offences was the most common category, with 152 reports in the 12 months to July 2026, followed by anti-social behaviour (43).
Is crime in Nelson, Caerphilly going up or down?
Recorded crime in Nelson, Caerphilly was up 8% on the year before: 344 crimes in the 12 months to July 2026 against 320 in the previous 12 months.
Which police force covers Nelson, Caerphilly?
Nelson, Caerphilly is policed by Gwent. Non-emergency crimes can be reported online to the force or by calling 101; in an emergency call 999.
How are these crime rates calculated?
Each rate is the number of crimes recorded by the police in the 12 months to July 2026, divided by the resident population and multiplied by 1,000. Crime data is from data.police.uk and population estimates are from the Office for National Statistics.
Figures are police-recorded crime published on data.police.uk, covering August 2017 to July 2026. Each crime is counted in the small area (LSOA) where it was recorded and added up to Nelson, Caerphilly. Crimes recorded by British Transport Police are not included.
Population figures are ONS mid-year estimates. See the methodology for details.